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Risk-Free Strategy·10 min read

Arbitrage Betting
Explained

Guaranteed profit regardless of outcome. Here's how it works.

What is Arbitrage Betting?

Arbitrage betting (arbing) exploits price differences between bookmakers. When different bookmakers offer odds that, combined, create a situation where the total implied probability is below 100%, you can bet on all outcomes and guarantee profit.

It's not gambling. It's mathematics.

The Core Concept

Bookmaker A offers Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.10. Bookmaker B offers Under 2.5 Goals @ 2.05. By betting the right amounts on both, you lock in profit no matter what happens.

A Complete Example

Let's walk through a real arbitrage opportunity:

Match: Arsenal vs Chelsea

Bet365 - Over 2.5 Goals:2.10
Pinnacle - Under 2.5 Goals:2.05

Step 1: Calculate Implied Probabilities

Over 2.5: 1/2.10 = 47.62%
Under 2.5: 1/2.05 = 48.78%
Total: 47.62% + 48.78% = 96.40%

Total probability is below 100%. This means profit is possible.

Step 2: Calculate Stakes

To guarantee equal profit regardless of outcome with a £100 total stake:

Stake on Over 2.5: £100 × (48.78/96.40) = £50.60
Stake on Under 2.5: £100 × (47.62/96.40) = £49.40

Step 3: Calculate Returns

If Over 2.5 wins: £50.60 × 2.10 = £106.26
If Under 2.5 wins: £49.40 × 2.05 = £101.27
Guaranteed minimum return: £101.27
Profit: £1.27 - £6.26 (1.27% - 6.26%)

Three Stake Modes

Proppr's Arb Bot offers three different stake calculation methods:

Standard

Equal profit regardless of outcome. The safest, most common approach.

RF High

Break even on the likely outcome, big profit if underdog wins.

RF Low

Break even on unlikely outcome, steady profit on favorite.

Speed is Everything

Critical Warning

Most arbitrage opportunities last 60-120 seconds before bookmakers correct their lines. High-value arbs (5%+) often vanish within 30 seconds.

  • Enable Telegram push notifications for @PropprArbBot
  • Have bookmaker accounts logged in and ready
  • Place both bets within 60 seconds of alert

Bookmaker Coverage

Proppr's Arb Bot scans 150+ bookmakers across 30+ countries:

Bet365
Betfair
Pinnacle
Smarkets
Ladbrokes
William Hill
DraftKings
FanDuel
Winamax
Coral
Betway
Unibet

+ 130+ more. Enable only bookmakers where you have funded accounts.

LAY Betting on Exchanges

Exchanges like Betfair, Smarkets, and Matchbook let you "lay" outcomes (bet against them happening). This opens more arb opportunities:

Example:
BACK Arsenal @ 2.50 (Bet365)
LAY Arsenal @ 2.40 (Betfair)
Guaranteed profit from the price gap

The Arb Bot accounts for exchange commission (default 2%) in all profit calculations.

Account Limiting

Bookmakers don't like arbitrage bettors. Consistent arbing may result in account restrictions. Use multiple accounts, vary stake sizes, and mix arbs with recreational bets. This is a known trade-off.

Getting Started

1Open accounts at 3-5 bookmakers with good arb coverage
2Fund each account with working capital
3Start @PropprArbBot and enable your bookmakers in /settings
4Enable push notifications for instant alerts
5Start with the Demo tier (free) to learn the flow

Ready to start arbing?

Get instant arb alerts via Telegram